• $14.02Market priceOct 12, 2026
  • 1 in 472PacksChance per pack
  • $11,335Average cost to pullAt $24.03 a pack
  • Shiny RareRarity120 cards share it

Your odds of pulling Charmeleon

Chance of at least one copy, assuming every Shiny Rare in the set is equally likely.

How we measured →
ProductPacksChanceMarket price
1 pack1<1%$24.03
Booster bundle61%$179.84
Elite Trainer Box92%$431.73
Pokémon Center ETB112%—

327 packs give you an even chance, and 1,085 packs a 90% chance. Allowing for sampling error, the true rate is likely between 1 in 436 and 1 in 511 packs. Try the how many packs calculator for other targets.

Open packs or buy the single?

Buy the single$14.02
Open packs for it, on average$11,335

Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 808.5× its price on average. That's 472 packs at $24.03 (today's market price for a pack). The open-or-buy calculator counts the value of everything else you'd pull.

Price history

Daily TCGplayer market price since Oct 12, 2026.

Not enough daily prices recorded yet. The chart appears after a second day.

Quick answers

How rare is Charmeleon in Paldean Fates?
About 1 in 472 packs contain it, assuming every Shiny Rare is equally likely. Open 327 packs for an even chance, or 1,085 for a 90% chance.
How much is Charmeleon (#110) worth?
About $14.02 at TCGplayer market prices on Oct 12, 2026.
Is it cheaper to buy Charmeleon or open packs for it?
Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 808.5× its price on average. At $24.03 a pack (today's market price for a pack), you'd spend about $11,335 on average to pull it.

Prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification. Pull rates come from the verified openings on our Paldean Fates page.