161,000+ packs measured across all sets
Odds traced to real pack openings, today's card and sealed prices, full card lists, and a straight answer on what's worth opening.
Try it · 30th Celebration
Each pack's hit slots are drawn at 30th Celebration's measured rates. You see its 5 best cards.
Featured set
Pull rates from 3,200+ observed packs, prices for 191 cards, and your odds for every product. Calculated from the observed rate, an Elite Trainer Box (9 packs) has a 36% chance of at least one Special Illustration Rare, treating each pack as independent.
Set market value
$11,588
One copy of each priced card. The top 3 are 87% of it
Total cards
191
75 hits across 6 rarities
Observed SIR rate
1 in 20 packs
High evidence 159 in 3,256
| Product | ≥1 SIR | ≥1 FUR | IR pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 pack1 pack | 5% | <1% | 0.2 |
| Booster bundle6 packs | 26% | 5% | 1.2 |
| Elite Trainer Box9 packs | 36% | 7% | 1.8 |
| Pokémon Center ETB11 packs | 42% | 9% | 2.2 |
| Ultra-Premium Collection29 packs | 77% | 21% | 5.7 |
Calculated from the observed per-pack rates, treating each pack as independent. No product guarantees a hit.
3,200+ packs · TCGplayer Authentication Center
Verified Oct 7, 2026
A green bar passes the pack price: the hits are worth more than the pack, on average. Commons and reverse holos aren't counted.
Market analysis
Usually not. We matched every Double Rare and up in the Mega Evolution sets to its Japanese printing: the English card sells for more about 7 times in 10. The exception is the top chase cards.
Market analysis
Real gold Pokémon cards come out of booster packs as Gold Rares, Hyper Rares, and Mega Hyper Rares. We priced every one in the sets we track, and explain how to spot the gold foil cards that aren't real.
Market analysis
The priciest English booster boxes are Sun & Moon and XY sets that sell for thousands. We priced every Sword & Shield, Scarlet & Violet, and Mega Evolution box: all 27 sell above MSRP.
Community Fund
Half of our qualifying revenue goes into the Community Fund, and every dollar in it goes to prizes and getting them to winners.
