161,000+ packs measured across all sets
Odds traced to real pack openings, today's card and sealed prices, full card lists, and a straight answer on what's worth opening.
Try it · 30th Celebration
Each pack's hit slots are drawn at 30th Celebration's measured rates. You see its 5 best cards.
Featured set
Pull rates from 3,200+ observed packs, prices for 191 cards, and your odds for every product. Calculated from the observed rate, an Elite Trainer Box (9 packs) has a 36% chance of at least one Special Illustration Rare, treating each pack as independent.
Set market value
$11,715
One copy of each priced card. The top 3 are 87% of it
Total cards
191
75 hits across 6 rarities
Observed SIR rate
1 in 20 packs
High evidence 159 in 3,256
| Product | ≥1 SIR | ≥1 FUR | IR pulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 pack1 pack | 5% | <1% | 0.2 |
| Booster bundle6 packs | 26% | 5% | 1.2 |
| Elite Trainer Box9 packs | 36% | 7% | 1.8 |
| Pokémon Center ETB11 packs | 42% | 9% | 2.2 |
| Ultra-Premium Collection29 packs | 77% | 21% | 5.7 |
Calculated from the observed per-pack rates, treating each pack as independent. No product guarantees a hit.
3,200+ packs · TCGplayer Authentication Center
Verified Oct 7, 2026
A green bar passes the pack price: the hits are worth more than the pack, on average. Commons and reverse holos aren't counted.
Guide
1st Edition cards are the first printing of the early English sets, marked with a small black "Edition 1" stamp. Ten sets had them, from Base Set to Neo Destiny. Here's how to check a card and its stamp.
Guide
Every graded card has a certification number you can look up for free. Here's where to check each grader, what a match does and doesn't prove, and the physical checks that catch fake slabs.
Guide
PSA's population report counts every card it has graded, card by card and grade by grade. Here's how to read it, what it leaves out, and why a 1st Edition Charizard PSA 10 is scarcer than its total suggests.
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