How rare is Chien-Pao ex in Paldea Evolved?

About 1 in 473 packs contain it, assuming every Special Illustration Rare is equally likely. Open 328 packs for an even chance, or 1,089 for a 90% chance.

How much is Chien-Pao ex (#261) worth?

About $27.69 at TCGplayer market prices on Oct 12, 2026.

Is it cheaper to buy Chien-Pao ex or open packs for it?

Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 277.9× its price on average. At $16.26 a pack (today's market price for a pack), you'd spend about $7,694 on average to pull it.

What other Chien-Pao ex cards are in Paldea Evolved?

#236 (Ultra Rare, $2.64) and #274 (Hyper Rare, $6.51).

Paldea Evolved · Special Illustration Rare

Chien-Pao ex #261

Chien-Pao ex (#261) is a Special Illustration Rare from Paldea Evolved, released Jun 9, 2023. It sells for about $27.69 (TCGplayer market price, Oct 12, 2026). About 1 in 473 packs contain this exact card. Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 277.9× its price on average.

Price as of Oct 12, 2026Very sure

All Paldea Evolved cards Open packs in the simulator

Shown to identify the card.

$27.69Market priceOct 12, 2026
1 in 473PacksChance per pack
$7,694Average cost to pullAt $16.26 a pack
Special Illustration RareRarity15 cards share it

Your odds of pulling Chien-Pao ex

Chance of at least one copy, assuming every Special Illustration Rare in the set is equally likely.

How we measured →

Product	Packs	Chance	Market price
1 pack	1	<1%	$16.26
Booster bundle	6	1%	$126.75
Elite Trainer Box	9	2%	$215.18
Pokémon Center ETB	11	2%	—
Booster box	36	7%	$458.48

328 packs give you an even chance, and 1,089 packs a 90% chance. Allowing for sampling error, the true rate is likely between 1 in 422 and 1 in 533 packs. Try the how many packs calculator for other targets.

Open packs or buy the single?

Buy the single$27.69

Open packs for it, on average$7,694

Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 277.9× its price on average. That's 473 packs at $16.26 (today's market price for a pack). The open-or-buy calculator counts the value of everything else you'd pull.

Price history

Daily TCGplayer market price since Oct 12, 2026.

Not enough daily prices recorded yet. The chart appears after a second day.

Other Chien-Pao ex cards

Quick answers

How rare is Chien-Pao ex in Paldea Evolved?: About 1 in 473 packs contain it, assuming every Special Illustration Rare is equally likely. Open 328 packs for an even chance, or 1,089 for a 90% chance.
How much is Chien-Pao ex (#261) worth?: About $27.69 at TCGplayer market prices on Oct 12, 2026.
Is it cheaper to buy Chien-Pao ex or open packs for it?: Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 277.9× its price on average. At $16.26 a pack (today's market price for a pack), you'd spend about $7,694 on average to pull it.
What other Chien-Pao ex cards are in Paldea Evolved?: #236 (Ultra Rare, $2.64) and #274 (Hyper Rare, $6.51).

Prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification. Pull rates come from the verified openings on our Paldea Evolved page.