• $11.84Market priceOct 12, 2026
  • 1 in 267PacksChance per pack
  • $2,355Average cost to pullAt $8.81 a pack
  • Ultra RareRarity22 cards share it

Your odds of pulling Mega Lucario ex

Chance of at least one copy, assuming every Ultra Rare in the set is equally likely.

How we measured →
ProductPacksChanceMarket price
1 pack1<1%$8.81
Booster bundle62%$67.19
Elite Trainer Box93%$123.93
Pokémon Center ETB114%—
Booster box3613%$303.71

185 packs give you an even chance, and 615 packs a 90% chance. Allowing for sampling error, the true rate is likely between 1 in 244 and 1 in 294 packs. Try the how many packs calculator for other targets.

Open packs or buy the single?

Buy the single$11.84
Open packs for it, on average$2,355

Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 198.9× its price on average. That's 267 packs at $8.81 (today's market price for a pack). The open-or-buy calculator counts the value of everything else you'd pull.

Price history

Daily TCGplayer market price since Oct 12, 2026.

Not enough daily prices recorded yet. The chart appears after a second day.

Other Mega Lucario ex cards

Every Mega Lucario ex printing →

Quick answers

How rare is Mega Lucario ex in Mega Evolution?
About 1 in 267 packs contain it, assuming every Ultra Rare is equally likely. Open 185 packs for an even chance, or 615 for a 90% chance.
How much is Mega Lucario ex (#160) worth?
About $11.84 at TCGplayer market prices on Oct 12, 2026.
Is it cheaper to buy Mega Lucario ex or open packs for it?
Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 198.9× its price on average. At $8.81 a pack (today's market price for a pack), you'd spend about $2,355 on average to pull it.
What other Mega Lucario ex cards are in Mega Evolution?
#179 (Special Illustration Rare, $169.48) and #188 (Mega Hyper Rare, $226.78).

Prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification. Pull rates come from the verified openings on our Mega Evolution page.