Mega Evolution · Special Illustration Rare
Lillie's Determination #184
Lillie's Determination (#184) is a Special Illustration Rare from Mega Evolution, released Sep 26, 2025. It sells for about $51.90 (TCGplayer market price, Oct 12, 2026). About 1 in 1,010 packs contain this exact card. Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 171.5× its price on average.
- $51.90Market priceOct 12, 2026
- 1 in 1,010PacksChance per pack
- $8,899Average cost to pullAt $8.81 a pack
- Special Illustration RareRarity10 cards share it
Your odds of pulling Lillie's Determination
Chance of at least one copy, assuming every Special Illustration Rare in the set is equally likely.
| Product | Packs | Chance | Market price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 pack | 1 | <1% | $8.81 |
| Booster bundle | 6 | <1% | $67.19 |
| Elite Trainer Box | 9 | <1% | $123.93 |
| Pokémon Center ETB | 11 | 1% | — |
| Booster box | 36 | 4% | $303.71 |
700 packs give you an even chance, and 2,325 packs a 90% chance. Allowing for sampling error, the true rate is likely between 1 in 778 and 1 in 1,343 packs. Try the how many packs calculator for other targets.
Open packs or buy the single?
Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 171.5× its price on average. That's 1,010 packs at $8.81 (today's market price for a pack). The open-or-buy calculator counts the value of everything else you'd pull.
Price history
Daily TCGplayer market price since Oct 12, 2026.
Not enough daily prices recorded yet. The chart appears after a second day.
Other Lillie's Determination cards
More Mega Evolution Special Illustration Rares
Quick answers
- How rare is Lillie's Determination in Mega Evolution?
- About 1 in 1,010 packs contain it, assuming every Special Illustration Rare is equally likely. Open 700 packs for an even chance, or 2,325 for a 90% chance.
- How much is Lillie's Determination (#184) worth?
- About $51.90 at TCGplayer market prices on Oct 12, 2026.
- Is it cheaper to buy Lillie's Determination or open packs for it?
- Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 171.5× its price on average. At $8.81 a pack (today's market price for a pack), you'd spend about $8,899 on average to pull it.
- What other Lillie's Determination cards are in Mega Evolution?
- #169 (Ultra Rare, $19.65).
Prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification. Pull rates come from the verified openings on our Mega Evolution page.