• $1.81Market priceOct 12, 2026
  • 1 in 789PacksChance per pack
  • $15,237Average cost to pullAt $19.30 a pack
  • Gold RareRarity6 cards share it

Your odds of pulling Box of Disaster

Chance of at least one copy, assuming every Gold Rare in the set is equally likely.

How we measured →
ProductPacksChanceMarket price
1 pack1<1%$19.30
Booster bundle6<1%$202.30
Elite Trainer Box81%$195.69
Pokémon Center ETB101%—
Booster box364%$733.17

547 packs give you an even chance, and 1,817 packs a 90% chance. Allowing for sampling error, the true rate is likely between 1 in 618 and 1 in 1,018 packs. Try the how many packs calculator for other targets.

Open packs or buy the single?

Buy the single$1.81
Open packs for it, on average$15,237

Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 8418.1× its price on average. That's 789 packs at $19.30 (today's market price for a pack). The open-or-buy calculator counts the value of everything else you'd pull.

Price history

Daily TCGplayer market price since Oct 12, 2026.

Not enough daily prices recorded yet. The chart appears after a second day.

Quick answers

How rare is Box of Disaster in Lost Origin?
About 1 in 789 packs contain it, assuming every Gold Rare is equally likely. Open 547 packs for an even chance, or 1,817 for a 90% chance.
How much is Box of Disaster (#214) worth?
About $1.81 at TCGplayer market prices on Oct 12, 2026.
Is it cheaper to buy Box of Disaster or open packs for it?
Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 8418.1× its price on average. At $19.30 a pack (today's market price for a pack), you'd spend about $15,237 on average to pull it.

Prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification. Pull rates come from the verified openings on our Lost Origin page.