• $5.09Market priceOct 12, 2026
  • 1 in 119PacksChance per pack
  • $1,089Average cost to pullAt $9.18 a pack
  • ACE SPEC RareRarity6 cards share it

Your odds of pulling Secret Box

Chance of at least one copy, assuming every ACE SPEC Rare in the set is equally likely.

How we measured →
ProductPacksChanceMarket price
1 pack1<1%$9.18
Booster bundle65%$75.84
Elite Trainer Box97%$107.40
Pokémon Center ETB119%—
Booster box3626%$340.68

82 packs give you an even chance, and 272 packs a 90% chance. Allowing for sampling error, the true rate is likely between 1 in 108 and 1 in 130 packs. Try the how many packs calculator for other targets.

Open packs or buy the single?

Buy the single$5.09
Open packs for it, on average$1,089

Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 213.9× its price on average. That's 119 packs at $9.18 (today's market price for a pack). The open-or-buy calculator counts the value of everything else you'd pull.

Price history

Daily TCGplayer market price since Oct 12, 2026.

Not enough daily prices recorded yet. The chart appears after a second day.

Quick answers

How rare is Secret Box in Twilight Masquerade?
About 1 in 119 packs contain it, assuming every ACE SPEC Rare is equally likely. Open 82 packs for an even chance, or 272 for a 90% chance.
How much is Secret Box (#163) worth?
About $5.09 at TCGplayer market prices on Oct 12, 2026.
Is it cheaper to buy Secret Box or open packs for it?
Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 213.9× its price on average. At $9.18 a pack (today's market price for a pack), you'd spend about $1,089 on average to pull it.

Prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification. Pull rates come from the verified openings on our Twilight Masquerade page.