How rare is Iron Thorns ex in Twilight Masquerade?

About 1 in 318 packs contain it, assuming every Ultra Rare is equally likely. Open 220 packs for an even chance, or 731 for a 90% chance.

How much is Iron Thorns ex (#196) worth?

About $2.36 at TCGplayer market prices on Oct 12, 2026.

Is it cheaper to buy Iron Thorns ex or open packs for it?

Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 1235.8× its price on average. At $9.18 a pack (today's market price for a pack), you'd spend about $2,916 on average to pull it.

Twilight Masquerade · Ultra Rare

Iron Thorns ex #196

Iron Thorns ex (#196) is an Ultra Rare from Twilight Masquerade, released May 24, 2024. It sells for about $2.36 (TCGplayer market price, Oct 12, 2026). About 1 in 318 packs contain this exact card. Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 1235.8× its price on average.

Price as of Oct 12, 2026Very sure

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$2.36Market priceOct 12, 2026
1 in 318PacksChance per pack
$2,916Average cost to pullAt $9.18 a pack
Ultra RareRarity21 cards share it

Your odds of pulling Iron Thorns ex

Chance of at least one copy, assuming every Ultra Rare in the set is equally likely.

How we measured →

Product	Packs	Chance	Market price
1 pack	1	<1%	$9.18
Booster bundle	6	2%	$75.84
Elite Trainer Box	9	3%	$107.40
Pokémon Center ETB	11	3%	—
Booster box	36	11%	$340.68

220 packs give you an even chance, and 731 packs a 90% chance. Allowing for sampling error, the true rate is likely between 1 in 294 and 1 in 344 packs. Try the how many packs calculator for other targets.

Open packs or buy the single?

Buy the single$2.36

Open packs for it, on average$2,916

Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 1235.8× its price on average. That's 318 packs at $9.18 (today's market price for a pack). The open-or-buy calculator counts the value of everything else you'd pull.

Price history

Daily TCGplayer market price since Oct 12, 2026.

Not enough daily prices recorded yet. The chart appears after a second day.

Quick answers

How rare is Iron Thorns ex in Twilight Masquerade?: About 1 in 318 packs contain it, assuming every Ultra Rare is equally likely. Open 220 packs for an even chance, or 731 for a 90% chance.
How much is Iron Thorns ex (#196) worth?: About $2.36 at TCGplayer market prices on Oct 12, 2026.
Is it cheaper to buy Iron Thorns ex or open packs for it?: Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 1235.8× its price on average. At $9.18 a pack (today's market price for a pack), you'd spend about $2,916 on average to pull it.

Prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification. Pull rates come from the verified openings on our Twilight Masquerade page.