• $1.17Market priceOct 12, 2026
  • 1 in 76PacksChance per pack
  • $1,818Average cost to pullAt $24.03 a pack
  • Ultra RareRarity5 cards share it

Your odds of pulling Judge

Chance of at least one copy, assuming every Ultra Rare in the set is equally likely.

How we measured →
ProductPacksChanceMarket price
1 pack11%$24.03
Booster bundle68%$179.84
Elite Trainer Box911%$431.73
Pokémon Center ETB1114%—

53 packs give you an even chance, and 174 packs a 90% chance. Allowing for sampling error, the true rate is likely between 1 in 64 and 1 in 90 packs. Try the how many packs calculator for other targets.

Open packs or buy the single?

Buy the single$1.17
Open packs for it, on average$1,818

Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 1553.6× its price on average. That's 76 packs at $24.03 (today's market price for a pack). The open-or-buy calculator counts the value of everything else you'd pull.

Price history

Daily TCGplayer market price since Oct 12, 2026.

Not enough daily prices recorded yet. The chart appears after a second day.

Quick answers

How rare is Judge in Paldean Fates?
About 1 in 76 packs contain it, assuming every Ultra Rare is equally likely. Open 53 packs for an even chance, or 174 for a 90% chance.
How much is Judge (#228) worth?
About $1.17 at TCGplayer market prices on Oct 12, 2026.
Is it cheaper to buy Judge or open packs for it?
Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 1553.6× its price on average. At $24.03 a pack (today's market price for a pack), you'd spend about $1,818 on average to pull it.

Prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification. Pull rates come from the verified openings on our Paldean Fates page.