• $11.94Market priceOct 12, 2026
  • 1 in 158PacksChance per pack
  • $1,986Average cost to pullAt $12.58 a pack
  • Illustration RareRarity12 cards share it

Your odds of pulling Pidgey

Chance of at least one copy, assuming every Illustration Rare in the set is equally likely.

How we measured →
ProductPacksChanceMarket price
1 pack1<1%$12.58
Booster bundle64%$121.69
Elite Trainer Box96%$272.60
Pokémon Center ETB117%—
Booster box3620%$367.18

110 packs give you an even chance, and 363 packs a 90% chance. Allowing for sampling error, the true rate is likely between 1 in 147 and 1 in 170 packs. Try the how many packs calculator for other targets.

Open packs or buy the single?

Buy the single$11.94
Open packs for it, on average$1,986

Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 166.4× its price on average. That's 158 packs at $12.58 (today's market price for a pack). The open-or-buy calculator counts the value of everything else you'd pull.

Price history

Daily TCGplayer market price since Oct 12, 2026.

Not enough daily prices recorded yet. The chart appears after a second day.

Quick answers

How rare is Pidgey in Obsidian Flames?
About 1 in 158 packs contain it, assuming every Illustration Rare is equally likely. Open 110 packs for an even chance, or 363 for a 90% chance.
How much is Pidgey (#207) worth?
About $11.94 at TCGplayer market prices on Oct 12, 2026.
Is it cheaper to buy Pidgey or open packs for it?
Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 166.4× its price on average. At $12.58 a pack (today's market price for a pack), you'd spend about $1,986 on average to pull it.

Prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification. Pull rates come from the verified openings on our Obsidian Flames page.