• $21.55Market priceOct 12, 2026
  • 1 in 181PacksChance per pack
  • $2,277Average cost to pullAt $12.58 a pack
  • Ultra RareRarity12 cards share it

Your odds of pulling Charizard ex

Chance of at least one copy, assuming every Ultra Rare in the set is equally likely.

How we measured →
ProductPacksChanceMarket price
1 pack1<1%$12.58
Booster bundle63%$121.69
Elite Trainer Box95%$272.60
Pokémon Center ETB116%—
Booster box3618%$367.18

126 packs give you an even chance, and 416 packs a 90% chance. Allowing for sampling error, the true rate is likely between 1 in 168 and 1 in 196 packs. Try the how many packs calculator for other targets.

Open packs or buy the single?

Buy the single$21.55
Open packs for it, on average$2,277

Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 105.7× its price on average. That's 181 packs at $12.58 (today's market price for a pack). The open-or-buy calculator counts the value of everything else you'd pull.

Price history

Daily TCGplayer market price since Oct 12, 2026.

Not enough daily prices recorded yet. The chart appears after a second day.

Other Charizard ex cards

Quick answers

How rare is Charizard ex in Obsidian Flames?
About 1 in 181 packs contain it, assuming every Ultra Rare is equally likely. Open 126 packs for an even chance, or 416 for a 90% chance.
How much is Charizard ex (#215) worth?
About $21.55 at TCGplayer market prices on Oct 12, 2026.
Is it cheaper to buy Charizard ex or open packs for it?
Buying the single is cheaper: opening packs for it costs about 105.7× its price on average. At $12.58 a pack (today's market price for a pack), you'd spend about $2,277 on average to pull it.
What other Charizard ex cards are in Obsidian Flames?
#125 (Double Rare, $6.72), #223 (Special Illustration Rare, $94.33), and #228 (Hyper Rare, $31.45).

Prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification. Pull rates come from the verified openings on our Obsidian Flames page.